Quick links: Compass MLS Offensive Tracker (updated daily) · Lawsuit Matrix · Interactive Compass vs MLS War Gaming · MindCast Compass MLS Value Proposition · Prediction Scorecard (88% accuracy on Compass)
Contact mcai@mindcast-ai.com to provide insights on the Compass v MLS saga.
MLS leaders can read what follows in under three minutes: the complaint template Compass filed fifteen times, the forum fight that now decides the merits, the seven defendants still outside New York, and the MindCast Foresight Simulation Predictions on each live question.
Compass filed one complaint fifteen times. On November 12, 2026, it sued fifteen Multiple Listing Services (MLSs) across eight states, each in the defendant’s home federal district. Only the Houston complaint is public, and it shows the design: two Sherman §1 counts, no monopolization theory, Eimer Stahl as counsel. The fight no longer turns on market definition. It turns on forum.
MindCast AI now runs the Compass MLS Offensive Tracker as a daily-updated reference for MLS boards, brokerages, counsel and legislators. Every entry carries its public source. Every live question carries a MindCast Foresight Simulation Prediction and a probability band.
Why One Site: Coordination Against Cross-Forum Contradictions
Compass argues one case in federal court and the opposite case in state legislatures, investor calls and consumer marketing. In federal antitrust suits it calls restricted listing visibility a consumer harm. In testimony against Washington SB 6091 it called the same practice benign seller choice. MCAI Lex Vision: Compass’s Cross-Forum Contradictions documents the full set across four audiences.
Fifteen home-district suits multiply the forums and the opportunity for inconsistency. Each MLS, judge, attorney general and legislator sees one slice. The tracker exists so every actor sees the whole record at once, which closes the gap the MCAI Lex Vision: The Compass Narrative Inversion Playbook describes: a position taken in one forum becomes the contradicting exhibit in the next. Coordination across MLSs and jurisdictions forces Compass to choose which account it stands behind.
One Complaint, Fifteen Courts
The template descends from two earlier pleadings. The April 2025 NWMLS complaint ran six counts, including Sherman §2 monopolization of the Seattle market, with Cooley as counsel. The October 2026 CRMLS complaint kept six counts but swapped the §2 theory for a per se boycott count and introduced a $175M damages claim tied to Compass’s commission-suit payouts. Houston strips the state-law claims and pleads two federal counts in 43 pages.
The economics explain the edit. A §2 claim requires proof of market power in every district. A per se boycott count travels anywhere with local rule numbers and fine schedules swapped in. Compass also replaced “Private Exclusives” with “See It First,” reframing private pre-marketing as public marketing off the MLS, which removes the defendants’ strongest consumer-harm answer.
The Forum Fight Decides the Merits
Eight of the fifteen defendants already sue Compass in New York. Nine MLS plaintiffs now sit across two S.D.N.Y. actions: CRMLS v. Compass (joined by OneKey) and ARMLS et al. v. Compass (seven plaintiffs). Compass’s home-district filings mirror the defendants’ choice of a single New York court.
First-to-file and compulsory-counterclaim motions will decide where the merits are heard. MindCast puts transfer or first-to-file motions landing within weeks at 70–85%. Forum-ruling weights on the CRMLS claims: retain 60%, sever and transfer 22%, dismiss 18%.
Seven Defendants Outside New York
Houston, Bay East, Contra Costa, The MLS-CLAW, San Diego, NorthstarMLS and Stellar face Compass at home with no New York seat. Each must choose between joinder and a standalone defense. Compass’s volume strategy makes joinder the live option for every one of them.
What the Tracker Holds
The tracker consolidates four tracks no single source aggregates: the fifteen home-district suits plus the two New York actions; state attorney general activity, led by the New York inquiry open since June 2026; federal and congressional inquiries, including the House Judiciary briefing and Senate letters on the Anywhere merger; and state listing-transparency legislation, with Washington SSB 6091 enacted and New York and Connecticut bills advanced.
Three tools sit inside it.
Lawsuit Matrix. Seventeen cases across twenty columns: court, counsel, counts, rules, fines, statistics, damages theory and public status. Current template status: 1 confirmed match, 3 reported similar, 11 complaints not yet public.
Interactive Compass vs MLS War Gaming. Play the MLS board, the independent brokerage or a 2027 legislative committee against an adapting Compass Cognitive Digital Twin (CDT). Three seats, twelve moves, six events, fourteen states. Every weight comes from the published Foresight Simulation.
Complaint Template Comparison. NWMLS, CRMLS and Houston side by side, with the five drafting shifts and a test for each.
MindCast Foresight Simulation Predictions
At least one of the seven outside defendants joins a New York action or files by December 12, 2026. 63–81%
CRMLS claims remain in New York, neither dismissed nor transferred, by May 3, 2027. 66–78%
At least 11 MLS plaintiffs across the two New York actions by May 3, 2027. 47–61%
Compass keeps paying CRMLS fines through May 3, 2027. 72–86%
The fourteen unseen complaints share Houston’s two-count structure. 75–85%
Outcome weights for February 3, 2028: fragmented accommodation 36%, Washington-like cooperation 27%, stronger-access national cooperation 15%, opt-out statutory override 14%, competitive private-listing equilibrium 8%.
MindCast Record and Value Proposition
MindCast carries an 88% accuracy rate on its Compass predictions, documented on the Prediction Scorecard. The Compass predictions on this tracker extend a record that began with the 2025 NWMLS case and ran through the CRMLS filing, the New York actions and the November 12 offensive.
The record rests on fieldwork as well as modeling. MindCast testified before the Washington House and Senate on real estate listing transparency during the SSB 6091 process, highlighting Compass’s litigation-revenue strategy and the antitrust concerns its private-listing program raised. MCAI Lex Vision: SSB 6091 Has Passed sets out what the enacted law now reaches and the Compass enforcement record it inherits, with a replication template for every state watching Washington.
The MindCast Compass MLS Value Proposition states what MLS boards, brokerages, counsel and legislators receive: the daily tracker, the matrix, the war gaming seats, and Behavioral Economics + Dynamic Predictive Game Theory Foresight Simulations with bands on every live question.
Stakeholders
🏛 Policymakers: the legislation track shows how SSB 6091 shapes the per se boycott theory in every state that follows Washington, and the contradictions record arms concurrent transparency bills.
💼 MLS executives and boards: the matrix shows your rule numbers, fine schedules and governance language as Compass pleads them.
⚖ Counsel: the template comparison isolates the damages causation chain as the most exposed joint in all fifteen complaints.
📊 Brokerages and investors: the war gaming module evaluates each seat’s moves against Compass’s adaptive responses.
Allegations in every complaint remain unproven. The tracker updates daily as case numbers, joinders and rulings land.
Open the Compass MLS Offensive Tracker
Additional MindCast Works
Agentic AI Enforcement and Litigation
Nationwide Prediction Market Litigation
State Attorney General Coalitions
